(Maple Hill's Halle Feldman from earlier in the season. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
Every tournament takes into account each team’s current ranking and their current path to the title. Teams are broken down into 4 different categories based on their overall chance to win it all according to the rankings. They are as followed:
Each team is automatically classified into four categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
Softball Brackets from 518softball.org
Computer Rankings link Here:
Game by game score projections are listed below the bracket predictions.
Class AAA
Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class AAA | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Champ | Projection | |
| Colonie 1 | 100.00% | 63.70% | 34.036% | 34.036% | Favorite |
| Shenendehowa 2 | 100.00% | 56.72% | 30.893% | 30.893% | Favorite |
| Shaker 3 | 100.00% | 43.28% | 20.691% | 20.6905% | Contender |
| Saratoga Springs 4 | 50.75% | 18.60% | 7.434% | 7.434% | Dark Horse |
| Guilderland 5 | 49.25% | 17.70% | 6.947% | 6.947% | Dark Horse |
Class AA
Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class AA | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Burnt Hills 1 | 100.00% | 77.29% | 46.43% | 27.81% | Favorite |
| Bethlehem 4 | 100.00% | 64.40% | 32.98% | 18.12% | Contender |
| Averill Park 2 | 100.00% | 52.55% | 32.72% | 16.59% | Contender |
| Ballston Spa 7 | 94.38% | 47.13% | 29.32% | 14.84% | Contender |
| Columbia 6 | 100.00% | 60.21% | 25.16% | 10.69% | Contender |
| Troy 5 | 100.00% | 35.60% | 13.31% | 5.39% | Dark Horse |
| South Glens Falls 3 | 100.00% | 39.79% | 12.76% | 4.20% | Long Shot |
| Niskayuna 8 | 59.30% | 15.14% | 5.26% | 1.82% | Long Shot |
| Queensbury 9 | 40.70% | 7.57% | 2.02% | 0.53% | Long Shot |
| Amsterdam 10 | 5.62% | 0.31% | 0.03% | 0.002% | Long Shot |
Class A
Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class A | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Champ | Projection | |
| Ichabod Crane 1 | 88.65% | 52.07% | 30.779% | 30.779% | Favorite |
| Hudson Falls 2 | 71.98% | 41.98% | 21.31% | 21.308% | Contender |
| Scotia-Glenville 3 | 71.66% | 38.67% | 18.761% | 18.7606% | Contender |
| Glens Falls 5 | 55.12% | 26.59% | 14.046% | 14.046% | Contender |
| Schalmont 4 | 44.88% | 19.50% | 9.322% | 9.322% | Dark Horse |
| Cohoes 7 | 28.02% | 10.14% | 2.940% | 2.940% | Long Shot |
| Lansingburgh 6 | 28.34% | 9.21% | 2.526% | 2.526% | Long Shot |
| Broadalbin-Perth 8 | 11.35% | 1.84% | 0.318% | 0.318% | Long Shot |
Class B
Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class B | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Chatham 1 | 100.00% | 90.63% | 66.41% | 46.005% | Favorite |
| Tamarac 2 | 100.00% | 71.52% | 49.82% | 23.253% | Contender |
| Catholic Central/NDBG 4 | 94.89% | 67.23% | 24.22% | 12.507% | Contender |
| Hoosick Falls 3 | 83.34% | 58.28% | 25.78% | 9.210% | Dark Horse |
| Schuylerville 10 | 66.55% | 22.01% | 11.84% | 3.664% | Long Shot |
| Mechanicville 5 | 77.25% | 28.51% | 6.58% | 2.385% | Long Shot |
| Taconic Hills 6 | 50.33% | 18.32% | 4.75% | 0.935% | Long Shot |
| Voorheesville 11 | 49.67% | 17.94% | 4.61% | 0.897% | Long Shot |
| Coxsackie-Athens 8 | 59.32% | 6.48% | 1.85% | 0.461% | Long Shot |
| Cobleskill 7 | 33.45% | 6.47% | 2.44% | 0.450% | Long Shot |
| Fonda 9 | 40.68% | 2.90% | 0.62% | 0.114% | Long Shot |
| La Salle 14 | 16.66% | 5.46% | 0.77% | 0.078% | Long Shot |
| Corinth 12 | 22.75% | 3.46% | 0.28% | 0.040% | Long Shot |
| Watervliet/Heatly 13 | 5.11% | 0.80% | 0.03% | 0.002% | Long Shot |
Class C
Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class C | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Greenwich 1 | 88.57% | 69.01% | 55.34% | 43.055% | Favorite |
| Galway 2 | 89.12% | 59.20% | 38.73% | 16.418% | Contender |
| Maple Hill 3 | 72.75% | 46.60% | 23.25% | 8.325% | Dark Horse |
| Berne-Knox-Westerlo 4 | 78.08% | 47.05% | 15.34% | 8.091% | Dark Horse |
| Stillwater 8 | 75.21% | 23.64% | 13.96% | 7.794% | Dark Horse |
| Granville 5 | 68.65% | 35.54% | 10.25% | 4.948% | Long Shot |
| Saratoga Catholic 10 | 57.77% | 23.94% | 12.55% | 3.843% | Long Shot |
| Duanesburg 6 | 50.92% | 21.82% | 8.01% | 1.981% | Long Shot |
| Schoharie 11 | 49.08% | 20.60% | 7.39% | 1.778% | Long Shot |
| Mayfield 7 | 42.23% | 14.57% | 6.53% | 1.609% | Long Shot |
| Hoosic Valley 14 | 27.25% | 10.99% | 3.06% | 0.549% | Long Shot |
| OESJ/Waterford 16/17 | 11.43% | 3.99% | 1.49% | 0.510% | Long Shot |
| Cambridge 12 | 31.35% | 10.61% | 1.68% | 0.509% | Long Shot |
| Whitehall 9 | 24.79% | 3.35% | 1.11% | 0.338% | Long Shot |
| Lake George 13 | 21.92% | 6.80% | 0.84% | 0.207% | Long Shot |
| Fort Plain 15 | 10.88% | 2.30% | 0.48% | 0.045% | Long Shot |
Class D
Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class D | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Salem 1 | 100.00% | 67.64% | 36.21% | 36.207% | Favorite |
| Argyle 3 | 91.47% | 52.80% | 29.12% | 29.119% | Favorite |
| Fort Ann 2 | 100.00% | 46.18% | 21.97% | 21.967% | Contender |
| Hartford 5 | 79.58% | 29.80% | 12.21% | 12.209% | Contender |
| Germantown 4 | 20.42% | 2.57% | 0.38% | 0.381% | Long Shot |
| Northville 6 | 8.53% | 1.02% | 0.12% | 0.117% | Long Shot |
Score projections will be updated daily. I will also track how the seedings do against the computer rankings. Higher seed is awarded a win if higher seed wins. A loss if higher seed loses. Computer rankings will get a win if higher ranked team wins. Will get a loss if higher ranked team loses according to the computer rankings.
Seedings (39-15)
Computer Rankings (41-13)
| Seeding | Rankings | ||||||
| Date | Team | Class | Overall | Score | Win % | ||
| 5/19/2025 | OESJ | C | #51 | 12.8 | 84.29% | W | W |
| Waterford | C | #73 | 4.2 | 15.71% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Ballston Spa | AA | #6 | 13.5 | 94.38% | W | W |
| Amsterdam | AA | #47 | 0.0 | 5.62% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Berne-Knox-Westerlo | C | #31 | 10.0 | 78.08% | W | W |
| Lake George | C | #60 | 3.4 | 21.92% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Catholic Central/NDBG | B | #21 | 15.6 | 94.89% | W | W |
| Watervliet/Heatly | B | #63 | 1.7 | 5.11% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Schuylerville | B | #25 | 7.9 | 66.55% | L | |
| Cobleskill | B | #38 | 4.3 | 33.45% | W | ||
| 5/20/2025 | Coxsackie-Athens | B | #41 | 8.8 | 59.32% | L | L |
| Fonda | B | #49 | 6.8 | 40.68% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Duanesburg | C | #45 | 7.7 | 50.92% | W | W |
| Schoharie | C | #48 | 7.5 | 49.08% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Galway | C | #26 | 12.4 | 89.12% | W | W |
| Fort Plain | C | #62 | 2.0 | 10.88% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Granville | C | #39 | 9.7 | 68.65% | W | W |
| Cambridge | C | #57 | 5.6 | 31.35% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Greenwich | C | #17 | 12.6 | 88.03% | W | W |
| OESJ | C | #51 | 2.6 | 11.97% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Hoosick Falls | B | #24 | 11.6 | 83.34% | W | W |
| La Salle | B | #52 | 3.3 | 16.66% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Maple Hill | C | #32 | 10.8 | 72.75% | W | W |
| Hoosic Valley | C | #58 | 5.6 | 27.25% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Saratoga Catholic | C | #40 | 8.4 | 57.77% | W | |
| Mayfield | C | #46 | 6.8 | 42.23% | L | ||
| 5/20/2025 | Mechanicville | B | #28 | 10.7 | 77.25% | W | W |
| Corinth | B | #55 | 4.3 | 22.75% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Niskayuna | AA | #18 | 7.8 | 59.30% | L | L |
| Queensbury | AA | #23 | 5.8 | 40.70% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Stillwater | C | #30 | 10.7 | 75.21% | W | W |
| Whitehall | C | #56 | 4.9 | 24.79% | |||
| 5/20/2025 | Taconic Hills | B | #33 | 5.5 | 50.33% | L | L |
| Voorheesville | B | #34 | 5.4 | 49.67% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Averill Park | AA | #5 | 5.0 | 50.53% | W | W |
| Ballston Spa | AA | #6 | 4.9 | 49.47% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Berne-Knox-Westerlo | C | #31 | 7.6 | 54.61% | L | L |
| Granville | C | #39 | 6.6 | 45.39% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Burnt Hills | AA | #3 | 9.5 | 78.06% | W | W |
| Queensbury | AA | #23 | 3.0 | 21.94% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Chatham | B | #8 | 13.2 | 90.96% | W | W |
| Fonda | B | #49 | 1.8 | 9.04% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Hudson Falls | A | #15 | 8.2 | 71.98% | W | W |
| Cohoes | A | #27 | 3.2 | 28.02% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Ichabod Crane | A | #13 | 11.6 | 88.65% | W | W |
| Broadalbin-Perth | A | #44 | 1.4 | 11.35% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Maple Hill | C | #32 | 8.1 | 63.63% | W | W |
| Duanesburg | C | #45 | 5.1 | 36.37% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Saratoga Springs | AAA | #9 | 5.3 | 50.75% | W | W |
| Guilderland | AAA | #10 | 5.2 | 49.25% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Glens Falls | A | #20 | 5.7 | 55.12% | W | |
| Schalmont | A | #22 | 4.6 | 44.88% | L | ||
| 5/21/2025 | Bethlehem | AA | #4 | 7.3 | 64.40% | L | L |
| Troy | AA | #12 | 4.1 | 35.60% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Catholic Central/NDBG | B | #21 | 8.3 | 68.04% | W | W |
| Mechanicville | B | #28 | 4.3 | 31.96% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Galway | C | #26 | 8.9 | 59.39% | W | W |
| Saratoga Catholic | C | #40 | 6.8 | 40.61% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Hartford | D | #50 | 11.0 | 79.58% | W | |
| Germantown | D | #66 | 4.0 | 20.42% | L | ||
| 5/21/2025 | Greenwich | C | #17 | 10.5 | 71.79% | L | L |
| Stillwater | C | #30 | 5.6 | 28.21% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Hoosick Falls | B | #24 | 8.0 | 70.08% | W | W |
| Voorheesville | B | #34 | 3.6 | 29.92% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Scotia-Glenville | A | #19 | 8.5 | 71.66% | L | L |
| Lansingburgh | A | #29 | 3.6 | 28.34% | |||
| 5/21/2025 | Columbia | AA | #11 | 5.7 | 60.21% | L | |
| South Glens Falls | AA | #16 | 3.5 | 39.79% | W | ||
| 5/21/2025 | Tamarac | B | #14 | 9.1 | 76.19% | W | W |
| Cobleskill | B | #38 | 3.0 | 23.81% | |||
| Seeding | Rankings | ||||||
| Date | Team | Class | Overall | Score | Win % | ||
| 5/22/2025 | Argyle | D | #36 | 12.5 | 91.10% | W | W |
| Northville | D | #71 | 1.1 | 8.90% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Shenendehowa | AAA | #2 | 6.2 | 61.29% | W | W |
| Shaker | AAA | #7 | 3.7 | 38.71% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Colonie | AAA | #1 | 7.0 | 62.02% | W | W |
| Saratoga Springs | AAA | #9 | 4.4 | 37.98% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Burnt Hills | AA | #3 | 7.1 | 64.24% | W | W |
| Troy | AA | #12 | 4.0 | 35.76% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Averill Park | AA | #5 | 6.4 | 64.03% | W | W |
| South Glens Falls | AA | #16 | 3.3 | 35.97% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Ichabod Crane | A | #13 | 6.1 | 56.49% | W | W |
| Glens Falls | A | #20 | 4.7 | 43.51% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Hudson Falls | A | #15 | 8.7 | 69.74% | W | W |
| Lansingburgh | A | #29 | 4.4 | 30.26% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Chatham | B | #8 | 8.7 | 66.33% | W | W |
| Catholic Central/NDBG | B | #21 | 5.1 | 33.67% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Tamarac | B | #14 | 7.5 | 61.72% | W | W |
| Hoosick Falls | B | #24 | 4.9 | 38.28% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Stillwater | C | #30 | 8.9 | 59.97% | W | |
| Granville | C | #39 | 6.7 | 40.03% | L | ||
| 5/27/2025 | Galway | C | #26 | 7.9 | 59.27% | W | W |
| Maple Hill | C | #32 | 5.9 | 40.73% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Salem | D | #37 | 7.5 | 63.49% | W | W |
| Hartford | D | #50 | 4.6 | 36.51% | |||
| 5/27/2025 | Argyle | D | #36 | 5.8 | 52.13% | W | |
| Fort Ann | D | #42 | 5.4 | 47.87% | L | ||
| 5/29/2025 | Colonie | AAA | #1 | 5.1 | 50.52% | L | L |
| Shenendehowa | AAA | #2 | 5.0 | 49.48% | |||
| 5/29/2025 | Burnt Hills | AA | #3 | 5.4 | 57.28% | W | W |
| Averill Park | AA | #5 | 3.8 | 42.72% | |||
| 5/29/2025 | Hudson Falls | A | #15 | 6.2 | 50.47% | L | |
| Ichabod Crane | A | #13 | 6.1 | 49.53% | W | ||
| 5/29/2025 | Chatham | B | #8 | 7.5 | 60.09% | W | W |
| Tamarac | B | #14 | 5.3 | 39.91% | |||
| 5/29/2025 | Galway | C | #26 | 8.0 | 51.90% | L | L |
| Stillwater | C | #30 | 7.6 | 48.10% | |||
| 5/29/2025 | Salem | D | #37 | 6.0 | 54.73% | L | L |
| Argyle | D | #36 | 5.0 | 45.27% |
